Forecast XAUT
← BackProbability estimate based on historical data. Not financial advice.
Price + forecast (6m)
History left • NOW center • Forecast right
1 year
↑ Up
Up probability: 90%
0%
Prob up
100%
Target: $6,001
Range: $4,334 – $8,030
Why this
Current price
$4,499
Momentum (6m)
1.37%/mo
Volatility
6.33%
Months used
12
Monthly returns (12m)
Forecast vs Actual (Monthly)
Year: 2023
| Month | Start price | Actual price | Actual, % | Forecast (p50), price | Error, % | Range (p10–p90), price | Actual range, % | 📈 Price move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2023 | $1,913 | $1,907 | -0.30% | — | — | — | 0.30% | |
| Feb 2023 | $1,915 | $1,839 | -3.96% | — | — | — | 5.94% | |
| Mar 2023 | $1,832 | $1,975 | 7.83% | — | — | — | 9.16% | |
| Apr 2023 | $1,975 | $1,986 | 0.59% | — | — | — | 3.26% | |
| May 2023 | $2,014 | $1,965 | -2.45% | — | — | — | 5.78% | |
| Jun 2023 | $1,962 | $1,913 | -2.49% | — | — | — | 2.75% | |
| Jul 2023 | $1,909 | $1,945 | 1.87% | — | — | — | 3.70% | |
| Aug 2023 | $1,938 | $1,934 | -0.25% | — | — | — | 3.12% | |
| Sep 2023 | $1,934 | $1,851 | -4.27% | — | — | — | 4.89% | |
| Oct 2023 | $1,831 | $1,984 | 8.36% | — | — | — | 9.97% | |
| Nov 2023 | $1,984 | $2,033 | 2.49% | — | — | — | 5.42% | |
| Dec 2023 | $2,054 | $2,061 | 0.32% | — | — | — | 4.67% |