Forecast ELA
← BackProbability estimate based on historical data. Not financial advice.
Price + forecast (6m)
History left • NOW center • Forecast right
3 months
↓ Down
Up probability: 13%
0%
Prob up
100%
Target: $0.1778
Range: $0.1282 – $0.5965
Why this
Current price
$0.4694
Momentum (6m)
-16.15%/mo
Volatility
18.17%
Months used
12
Monthly returns (12m)
Forecast vs Actual (Monthly)
Year: 2023
| Month | Start price | Actual price | Actual, % | Forecast (p50), price | Error, % | Range (p10–p90), price | Actual range, % | 📈 Price move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2023 | $0.8041 | $0.9482 | 17.92% | — | — | — | 25.51% | |
| Feb 2023 | $0.9539 | $1.27 | 32.90% | — | — | — | 63.73% | |
| Mar 2023 | $1.25 | $1.15 | -8.35% | — | — | — | 22.42% | |
| Apr 2023 | $1.18 | $1.3 | 9.99% | — | — | — | 31.91% | |
| May 2023 | $1.3 | $1.58 | 21.79% | — | — | — | 67.02% | |
| Jun 2023 | $1.67 | $1.39 | -16.62% | — | — | — | 32.46% | |
| Jul 2023 | $1.37 | $1.19 | -13.07% | — | — | — | 17.59% | |
| Aug 2023 | $1.26 | $1.5 | 19.21% | — | — | — | 28.11% | |
| Sep 2023 | $1.5 | $1.4 | -6.67% | — | — | — | 20.05% | |
| Oct 2023 | $1.4 | $1.25 | -10.76% | — | — | — | 14.18% | |
| Nov 2023 | $1.29 | $1.18 | -8.79% | — | — | — | 17.80% | |
| Dec 2023 | $1.25 | $2.82 | 126.22% | — | — | — | 213.77% |