Forecast BTC
← BackProbability estimate based on historical data. Not financial advice.
Price + forecast (6m)
History left • NOW center • Forecast right
3 months
↓ Down
Up probability: 37%
0%
Prob up
100%
Target: $61,029
Range: $51,323 – $94,950
Why this
Current price
$78,275
Momentum (6m)
-0.84%/mo
Volatility
10.25%
Months used
12
Monthly returns (12m)
Forecast vs Actual (Monthly)
Year: 2023
| Month | Start price | Actual price | Actual, % | Forecast (p50), price | Error, % | Range (p10–p90), price | Actual range, % | 📈 Price move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2023 | $16,734 | $22,989 | 37.38% | — | — | — | 41.06% | |
| Feb 2023 | $23,836 | $23,706 | -0.55% | — | — | — | 16.28% | |
| Mar 2023 | $23,359 | $28,400 | 21.58% | — | — | — | 42.89% | |
| Apr 2023 | $28,129 | $28,175 | 0.16% | — | — | — | 11.63% | |
| May 2023 | $28,542 | $26,893 | -5.78% | — | — | — | 11.96% | |
| Jun 2023 | $27,100 | $30,573 | 12.82% | — | — | — | 25.17% | |
| Jul 2023 | $30,500 | $28,953 | -5.07% | — | — | — | 7.91% | |
| Aug 2023 | $29,323 | $25,813 | -11.97% | — | — | — | 15.30% | |
| Sep 2023 | $25,897 | $27,152 | 4.85% | — | — | — | 9.16% | |
| Oct 2023 | $28,030 | $34,292 | 22.34% | — | — | — | 30.60% | |
| Nov 2023 | $34,639 | $38,415 | 10.90% | — | — | — | 10.90% | |
| Dec 2023 | $38,800 | $42,780 | 10.26% | — | — | — | 13.50% |